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National Guideline Centre (UK). Emergency and acute medical care in over 16s: service delivery and organisation. London: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE); 2018 Mar. (NICE Guideline, No. 94.)
Emergency and acute medical care in over 16s: service delivery and organisation.
Show details19. Early versus late consultant review
19.1. Introduction
Traditional models of medicine have often relied on patients being admitted by one of the more junior members of the medical team, then reviewed by a middle grade member, and only reviewed by a consultant several hours later on the ‘post take’ round, which may be the following day or even later in the week. This model has the potential to cause delays in timely investigation, diagnosis, and treatment, or in errors in care, which may translate into delayed discharge from hospital or patient harm. In the last decade several professional organisations have developed pragmatic recommendations for earlier and more frequent consultant review.
Earlier consultant review may allow the less sick patient to go home earlier, possibly even avoiding admission and also allowing earlier recognition of the sicker patient, with earlier institution of effective therapy and possibly decreased mortality. However, earlier discharge may lead to more re-admissions, and earlier reviews may not be effective if relevant tests results are not available. Equally, different age groups and different illnesses may have different results. However, it would seem reasonable that early review by a senior and more experienced doctor should improve the patient’s experience of healthcare.
The guideline committee therefore wanted to know if there was a net patient benefit to having a consultant review patients early in their presentation to hospital, what this might be and whether there was a difference depending on how sick the patient was and what was wrong with them. This would need to be balanced against any potential harm that might occur and how much it might cost.
19.2. Review questions
Is early consultant triage in the ED (Rapid Assessment and Treatment (RAT) model) more clinically and cost effective than later consultant review?
Is early consultant review in the AMU, ICU, HDU, CCU or Stroke Unit more clinically and cost effective than later consultant review?
For full details see review protocols in Appendix A.
19.3. Clinical evidence
Eight studies were included in the review12,32,41,67,77,110,132,151 and are summarised below. Evidence from these studies are summarised in the GRADE clinical evidence profile and clinical evidence summary below (Table 3, Table 4, Table 7). See also the study selection flow chart in Appendix B, study evidence tables in Appendix D, forest plots in Appendix C, GRADE tables in Appendix F and excluded studies list in Appendix G.
We searched for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing the effect of early versus late consultant triage in 5 different settings (ED, ICU, AMU, CCU and stroke units) on patient outcomes.
One RCT41 was included which was set in the ED and compared the effects of a model of care aiming to implement early senior work up assessment and treatment with no model of care.
Six observational studies12,32,67,77,132,151 were included in the ED. Three of these studies12,77,132 were similar in design to the RCT in that an intervention was implemented to facilitate early consultant review, which was then compared to days on which the intervention was not implemented; however, patients were not randomised to treatment. Two of these studies77,132 were confounded by the addition of point of care testing to the intervention of early consultant review and were downgraded for risk of bias. One of these studies was confounded by the intervention being carried out on days of peak demand;12 however this study did adjust for confounding variables.
Two of the 6 observational studies set in ED presented data from naturally occurring situations in which some patients were seen exclusively by consultants due to the absence or reduced availability of junior doctors.32,67 Outcomes were compared with times when junior doctors were present. One of these studies67 was confounded by different triage scores at baseline between the 2 groups and was therefore downgraded for risk of bias.
The final observational study151 set in ED reported the proposed management of patients by junior trainees versus the subsequent effect of the senior review process on patient disposition.
No RCTs set in ICU, AMU, CCU and stroke units were found. One cohort study set in AMU110 was identified.
As no studies reported patient and/or carer satisfaction, data relating to ‘did not wait to be seen’ patients were analysed as a surrogate marker, but downgraded for indirectness to the protocol.
Other outcomes that were unable to be analysed in Revman included: length of stay (for all patients): median 261 minutes (IQR 171, 386) in the SWAT group and median 255 minutes (IQR 177,376) in the control (standard care) group. For discharged patients length of stay was median 206 minutes (IQR 140, 294) in the SWAT group and 208 (IQR 147, 283) in control. For admitted patients length of stay was median 374 minutes (IQR 273-494) in the SWAT group and 381 minutes (IQR 274, 478) in control.
19.3.1. Other outcomes that could not be analysed in Revman
19.3.2. Clinical investigations
One study67 reported the number of clinical investigations per patient.
19.3.3. Unplanned readmissions
One study32 reported that 7.9% (6.5-9.3%) of patients who had been seen during the consultant shift returned to ED within 7 days versus 8.1% (7.4-8.9%) of those seen during the middle grade doctor shift. This paper did not give the number for each group so this data could not be analysed in Revman.
19.3.4. Admissions
One study32 reported that 27.1% (24.2-30.1%) of patients who had been seen during the consultant shift were admitted versus 31.0% (29.6-32.5%) of those seen during the middle grade doctor shift. This paper did not give the number for each group so this data could not be analysed in Revman.
19.4. Economic evidence
Published literature
No relevant economic evaluations were identified.
The economic article selection protocol and flow chart for the whole guideline can found in the guideline’s Appendix 41A and Appendix 41B
New cost-effectiveness analysis
An original cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted for this topic – see the economic profile table below (Table 8) and Chapter 41 for details.
19.5. Evidence statements
Clinical
Emergency departments
Seven papers were identified that assessed early versus late consultant reviews in the emergency department. Six of these studies were observation studies and 1 study was a randomised controlled trial.
One randomised controlled trial comprising 1737 participants evaluated senior work up assessment treatment (SWAT) with non-SWAT treatment and standard care for improving outcomes, in adults and young people at risk of an AME, or with a suspected or confirmed AME. The evidence suggested that SWAT may provide a benefit in increased proportion of patients achieving the National Emergency Access Target (NEAT) (1 study, moderate quality), proportion of admitted patients who met NEAT (1 study, low quality), and proportion of discharged patients who met NEAT (1 study, moderate quality). However, there were more patients admitted (1 study, moderate quality) and fewer patients discharged with early consultant review (1 study, moderate quality).
Six observational studies evaluated early versus late consultant reviews for improving outcomes, in adults and young people at risk of an AME, or with a suspected or confirmed AME. The evidence suggested that early consultant reviews may provide a benefit in reduced length of ED stay, 30 day unscheduled re-admissions, admissions, patients achieving NEAT, discharged patients achieving NEAT, admitted patients achieving NEAT, patients seen within the recommended time and patients who did not wait to be seen (1 study, very low quality). However, there was a possible increase in mortality (1 study, very low quality).
Acute medical units
One observational study comprising 2928 participants evaluated consultant presence versus when the consultant was absent for improving outcomes, in adults and young people at risk of an AME, or with a suspected or confirmed AME. The evidence suggested that consultant reviews may provide a benefit in reduced length of stay and proportion of patients discharged on the same day. There was no effect on mortality during admission. However, there was a possible increase in the proportion of patients discharged within 24 hours and readmitted within 1 week for the same clinical problem. The evidence was graded very low quality for all outcomes.
Economic
An original cost-utility analysis found that Rapid Assessment and Treatment in the Emergency Department (RAT) was not cost-effective (increased costs with no quality-adjusted life-years gained). This analysis was assessed as directly applicable with potentially serious limitations.
An original cost-utility analysis (simulation model) found that Rapid Assessment and Treatment in the Emergency Department (RAT) dominated compared to usual care. This analysis was assessed as directly applicable with potentially serious limitations.
An original cost-utility analysis found that extended consultant hours on the Acute Medical Unit were not cost-effective (ICER: £39,200 per QALY). This analysis was assessed as directly applicable with minor limitations. This analysis was assessed as directly applicable with potentially serious limitations.
19.6. Recommendations and link to evidence
Recommendations |
|
Research recommendation | - |
Relative values of different outcomes |
Mortality, quality of life, avoidable adverse events and patient and/or carer satisfaction were considered by the committee to be critical outcomes. Early diagnosis, hospital admission, number of diagnostic tests, length of stay, GP visits, referrals from admission, unplanned readmission, discharge and staff satisfaction were considered to be important outcomes. The committee considered that avoiding readmission was likely to be particularly important for people who have a chronic condition as this has an impact on mortality and also could have an impact upon psychological wellbeing and the ability to maintain independence. |
Trade-off between clinical benefits and harms |
Emergency Department A single RCT was identified. The committee decided that the Senior Work up Assessment and Treatment (SWAT) intervention had most similarities to current systems in the NHS (Rapid Assessment and Treatment [RAT]) compared to the non-SWAT intervention because for consultants to work effectively, they need the support of a team and therefore seeing patients alone would not be productive. Indeed, in the UK, consultants do not normally see patients in isolation. The comparison of SWAT versus control data suggested that SWAT may provide a benefit in increased proportion of patients achieving the National Emergency Access Target (NEAT), which is to be seen and discharged from the ED within 240 minutes of triage; proportion of admitted patients who met NEAT; and proportion of discharged patients who met NEAT. However, there were more patients admitted and fewer discharged with early consultant review. The committee surmised that early consultant review might, in some circumstances, be disadvantageous if it took place before definitive investigations were available which might have permitted safe discharge on later review. Therefore, review prior to all the relevant information being present may result in a greater number of patients admitted. However, the fact that more patients were admitted, although increasing demand, may be a positive step as it may ensure that certain patients receive the inpatient care their condition requires. The presence of a senior decision maker may identify these patients. The committee discussed their experience of the Rapid Assessment and Treatment system (the UK system of immediate consultant triage at presentation to ED). Perceived benefits included more rapid diagnosis, earlier administration of antibiotics and analgesics, and more appropriate triage. However, such outcomes are not normally measured in trials whereas admission, discharge and length of stay are affected by a wide variety of factors, and therefore may not accurately capture the whole effects of early consultant triage. Six observational studies suggested that early consultant review may provide a benefit in reduced length of ED stay, 30 day unscheduled re-admissions, admissions, patients achieving NEAT, discharged patients achieving NEAT, admitted patients achieving NEAT, patients seen within the recommended time and patients who did not wait to be seen. There was a possible increase in mortality but this was discounted by the committee as there was only a difference of 1 case between the 2 groups. No evidence was identified for early diagnosis, quality of life, GP visits, avoidable adverse events, diagnostic test number, patient and/or carer satisfaction, referral from admissions and staff or trainee satisfaction. Acute Medical Unit A single observational study was identified suggesting that early consultant review may provide a benefit in reduced length of stay, and the proportion of patients discharged on the day of admission. There was no effect on mortality during admission; there was a possible increase in the proportion of patients discharged within 24 hours and readmitted within 1 week for the same clinical problem. No evidence was identified for hospital admission, readmission, early diagnosis, quality of life, GP visits, avoidable adverse events, diagnostic test number, patient and/or carer satisfaction, referral from admissions and staff or trainee satisfaction. Stroke patients: No evidence was identified in a stroke care setting. The committee felt that the results from ED and AMU could be extrapolated to stroke patients. Intensive (or critical) care unit: No evidence was identified in an intensive care unit (critical care unit) setting. Studies of resident versus non-resident intensive care specialists were considered too indirect to be employed as substitutes for early consultant review. Given this lack of evidence, the committee considered that studies in ED and AMU patients might be used to inform recommendations relating to the ICU. Overall The committee noted that the effect of early consultant involvement is dependent upon the staffing model, the presenting case mix and the disease process. For example, conditions with a well-defined treatment pathway may benefit more from early consultant involvement if this results in earlier diagnosis and entry to the pathway. In settings where patients are presenting with often unclear disease processes (for example, in an emergency department), the benefit of early consultant involvement might be realised if consultants’ greater knowledge results in earlier diagnosis, or diminished if the diagnostic process is complex. The committee noted that a range of models for early consultant involvement were used in the studies examined, and that the model used within a UK context may differ from those included in the studies. For example, the Rapid Assessment and Treatment model implemented within some emergency department settings in the UK was a model containing a range of interventions, including early consultant involvement. It was felt to be similar but not identical to the SWAT model in the RCT for EDs. Overall, the evidence was mixed but suggested some benefit in outcomes over usual care for the ED and AMU. No evidence was identified to suggest harm in early consultant involvement and the committee were not aware of any negative outcomes that might occur. They therefore chose to make a consensus recommendation to consider early consultant involvement in care of a patient with an acute medical emergency. However, there was insufficient evidence to recommend specific models such at RAT. |
Trade-off between net effects and costs |
No relevant economic evaluations were identified. Unit costs of staff time, emergency department visits and relevant hospital admissions and stays were presented to the committee. One RCT, described above, set in the emergency department showed that the SWAT arm of the trial was associated with a trend for more patients meeting the 4-hour target; however, there was also a trend for more admissions and less discharges compared to the control arm. The committee felt that without information on the appropriateness of the decisions to admit or discharge, it would be difficult to fully assess the impact of the SWAT model. Anecdotally, the committee felt that the equivalent model in the UK (Rapid Assessment and Treatment or RAT) had shown some clinical benefit in terms of timely diagnosis and treatment. These benefits might be expected to result in saving in downstream costs. For the AMU, the observational study included in the clinical review suggested that there was a reduction in length of stay, which would translate into possible cost saving. The committee noted that the economic impact of early consultant assessment would be dependent on how it could be achieved or implemented in practice. Possible scenarios discussed included increasing the number of consultants, increasing their contracted hours (which might include working out-of-hours or being on-call) or accommodating the required changes in the consultants’ current rotas by prioritising early patient assessments over other duties, which can be undertaken by other staff members. The committee commented that the most likely scenario in large hospitals is that consultant rotas could be tailored to accommodate prioritising assessing patients given current capacity levels and the limited number of NHS consultants, which precludes the possibility of recruiting more consultants. However, this may not be feasible in smaller hospitals. New cost-effectiveness analyses were conducted for 2 areas of early consultant assessment with the results presented to the committee. A cohort model and a simulation model were built to assess the cost-effectiveness of early consultant assessment. Both models used inputs from bespoke data analysis, national data and treatment effects (primarily length of stay reduction and modest reductions in adverse events) that were informed by the above review but elicited from the committee members. The full model write up can be found in Chapter 41. Rapid Assessment and Treatment in the Emergency Department (RAT) The models compared RAT in the ED with no RAT. RAT involves an immediate assessment by a consultant in the ED, using additional resources in terms of consultant time at an incremental cost to normal care. Both models found that RAT was cost increasing with assumed no impact on quality of life, hence no gain in quality-adjusted life-years. The committee noted that RAT is a costly intervention a, with additional consultant time for all ED major patients. An optimistic sensitivity analysis found RAT to cost £98,000 per QALY gained – far from being cost effective. The main impact of RAT is likely to be on hospital flow, not taken into account by the cohort model. The simulation model saw a reduction in 4-hour breeches from 10% to 8%. The committee concluded that RAT is a costly intervention that is probably not cost effective in general, although it might still have a positive impact on hospital flow in hospitals operating at sub-optimal levels of efficiency within the emergency department. Extended hours for consultants in Acute Medical Units (AMU) The model compared consultant assessment available in the AMU 08:00-18:00 with consultant assessment available in the AMU 08:00-22:00. Therefore, the intervention involves the presence of a consultant to assess and treat on the AMU for an additional 4 hours in the evenings, 7 days a week. This uses additional resources in terms of consultant time at an incremental cost to normal care. The results of the cohort model found that extended hours on the AMU was cost increasing with a small impact on quality-adjusted life-years. However, the QALYs gained were not large enough in the base case or optimistic sensitivity analysis to allow an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio under the £20,000 threshold, £45,500 per QALY gained in the base case and £25,500 in the optimistic treatment effects sensitivity analysis. The committee noted the results of the cohort model with an ICER close to the £20,000 threshold in the sensitivity analysis. However, they also noted that extended hours in the AMU was likely to have an impact on hospital flow, not taken into account by the cohort model. However, the AMU could not be properly assessed by the simulation model because too many runs would be required. The committee noted that the intervention allows earlier decision making, potentially avoiding an overnight admission or facilitating earlier discharge. They also noted that extended hours in the AMU could have a positive impact on the hospital flow and patient outcomes, and therefore may be cost-effective at local level. However, extended hours to the AMU should only be implemented alongside local evaluation. Conclusion The committee felt that early consultant assessment could be cost effective in some settings. It is associated with some clinical benefit and, in some settings, the cost might be completely offset by savings from increased efficiencies in the hospital pathway. However, it was agreed that this would not be the case nationwide and any intervention should only be implemented at the local level alongside evaluation. For some Trusts, the resource impact of this recommendation will be more hours of consultant time in the AMU and other high care units. This should be partially offset by reduced length of stay and fewer complications. Some Trusts might want to disinvest in RAT, which would mean savings in terms of ED consultant staff time. There are benefits of early consultant assessment that were not captured in the model and are difficult to quantify, including impact on quality of life from quicker diagnosis and more appropriate location of/better quality of death. Overall, the evidence was not very strong and therefore the committee felt that neither immediate consultant assessment, such as RAT, nor extended hours could be recommended. However, there is still a need for consultant assessment at the earliest practical opportunity. Current pragmatic recommendations from professional organisations recommend initial consultant review within 14 hours for patients admitted to acute medical units [Society for Acute Medicine{ ACT2015}, and within 12 hours for patients admitted to intensive care units [UK Faculty of Intensive Care Medicine{FICM2016}]. The committee concluded that in the absence of definitive evidence, these professional recommendations were reasonable, but should be subject to local audit and evaluation. |
Quality of evidence |
Emergency department: One RCT was identified which was based in Australia and was graded low to moderate quality due to risk of bias and imprecision. The committee considered whether the study was applicable to a UK setting as in a non-UK setting, patients may present more frequently to secondary care as a first contact. However, the committee chose not to downgrade this study for indirectness as the model was applicable. The observational evidence was all graded as very low quality due to lack of randomisation and the presence of additional confounders, such as the intervention group also receiving point of care testing in addition to early consultant review. Acute medical unit: One observational study was identified and the outcomes were graded as very low quality due to risk of bias, imprecision and indirectness. There were some baseline differences in the conditions for which patients in both groups were being assessed and multivariate analysis had not been carried out. No evidence was identified for stroke care, intensive care or critical care units. Original health economic modelling was assessed to be directly applicable but still had potentially serious limitations due to the treatment effects being based on expert opinion, albeit conservative and informed by the guideline’s systematic review. Due to the quality of the evidence the committee decided to make a cautious recommendation for providers to consider consultant review within 14 hours. |
Other considerations |
The committee noted that, in practice, many of the competencies required to implement a model of early consultant review may be delivered by other members of healthcare staff. However, it is the knowledge or expertise that the consultant brings to the assessment that is crucial. Consultants do not work in isolation and need support of other staff; therefore to implement, this will require reconfiguration of rotas and changes in the availability of healthcare professionals. The committee were aware of observational evidence across a range of healthcare settings which was not included in the review because of either the availability of higher quality evidence or because it did not meet the inclusion criteria for the review. The committee noted that this observational evidence supported their recommendations for early consultant involvement in these settings. Although no evidence was found on patient and/or carer satisfaction, the committee noted that it was probably the preference of patients to be seen quickly, spend minimal time in ED and AMU and receive an accurate assessment of their condition with appropriate admission and discharge decisions. The committee was interested in how early the consultant review should be to demonstrate an improvement in clinical outcome. The definitions for an early consultant review as presented in the evidence was highly variable, most of which were unclear and vague. For example, one study defined an early consultant review as a review within 24 hours, whereas another study defined an early consultant review as when a consultant was present 4 days out of 5 during the working week from 9am-5pm. The committee referred to the RCP’s Acute care toolkit 4 and the Society for Acute Medicine clinical quality standards: Delivering a 12-hour, 7-day consultant presence on the acute medical unit which includes the following 2 key recommendations:
It was felt by the committee that, although there was no evidence from other acute care units such as the CCU, HASU or ICU, this way of working could be extrapolated to those centres. Indeed, in some of these units it is already occurring, that is, PCI in ST elevation MI which is often performed by a consultant cardiologist, or the delivery of thrombolysis in patients with stroke being covered by a consultant stroke thrombolysis rota. The Academy of Royal Colleges provided a report called the benefits of consultant delivered care2. In this report they highlighted the benefits of consultant delivered care:
As part of the implementation of 7 day services, hospital trusts are expected to meet 10 clinical standards produced by NHS England. The standards were drawn up by the national medical director, Sir Bruce Keogh, and his colleagues at NHS England in 2013, informed by an Academy of Medical Royal Colleges report published in 2012. Trusts are expected to meet 4 priority standards by the end of this financial year. The standards are:
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Appendices
Appendix A. Review protocols
Table 9Review protocol: Early versus late consultant review
Review question: Is early consultant triage in the ED (RAT model) more clinically and cost effective than later consultant review? | |
---|---|
Objective | To determine if early consultant review at acute presentation improves patient outcomes and reduces rate of admission. |
Rationale | Specialists ensure that patients are on the correct treatment pathway, moving along the pathway in a timely manner, and not subject to unexpected delays or complications. The first step in the process, determining the correct diagnosis and initial treatment, needs to be taken in a timely manner, as delays can compromise patient outcomes. The question is at what point is specialist involvement essential? At the point of admission, or following initial review and stabilisation by the other members of the clinical team? |
Population | Adults and young people (16 years and over) with a suspected or confirmed AME |
Intervention | Early consultant review |
Comparison | Later consultant review (any time point that is later than the intervention) |
Outcomes | Patient outcomes;
|
Exclusion | |
Search criteria |
The databases to be searched are: Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library Date limits for search: None Language: English only |
The review strategy | Systematic reviews (SRs) of RCTs, RCTs, observational studies only to be included if no relevant SRs or RCTs are identified. |
Analysis |
Data synthesis of RCT data. Meta-analysis where appropriate will be conducted. Studies in the following subgroup populations will be included:
|
Key papers | |
Number of clinical questions | Max occupancy 85%, often at 95% ED / RAT model in ED, note time points (not enough staff at moments to implement) (PD ideal world seen within 1 hour by consultant). |
HE questions | Crucial to conceptual. RF does diagnostic reviews (out of 10) for HE. |
Review question: Is early consultant review in the AMU, ICU, HDU, CCU or Stroke Unit more clinically and cost effective than later consultant review? | |
---|---|
Objective | To determine if early consultant review at acute presentation improves patient outcomes and reduces rate of admission. |
Rationale | Specialists ensure that patients are on the correct treatment pathway, moving along the pathway in a timely manner, and not subject to unexpected delays or complications. The first step in the process, determining the correct diagnosis and initial treatment, needs to be taken in a timely manner, as delays can compromise patient outcomes. The question is at what point is specialist involvement essential? At the point of admission, or following initial review and stabilisation by the other members of the clinical team? |
Population | Adults and young people (16 years and over) with a suspected or confirmed AME - presenting to GP |
Intervention | Early consultant review |
Comparison | Later consultant review (any time point that is later than the intervention) |
Outcomes | Patient outcomes;
|
Exclusion | None |
Search criteria |
The databases to be searched are: Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library Date limits for search: None Language: English only |
The review strategy | Systematic reviews (SRs) of RCTs, RCTs, observational studies only to be included if no relevant SRs or RCTs are identified. |
Analysis |
Data synthesis of RCT data. Meta-analysis where appropriate will be conducted. Studies in the following subgroup populations will be included:
|
Appendix C. Forest plots
Emergency Department – RCT evidence
Emergency Department – Observational evidence
AMU – observational evidence
Figure 18Early versus late (Consultant present versus consultant absent) in AMU: length of stay (days)
Figure 19Early versus late (Consultant present versus consultant absent) in AMU: percent discharged on day of admission
Figure 20Early versus late (Consultant present versus consultant absent) in AMU: percent of patients discharged within 24 hours and readmitted within 1 week for same clinical problem
Appendix D. Clinical evidence tables
Download PDF (560K)
Appendix E. Economic evidence tables
No studies were included.
Appendix F. GRADE tables
Table 10Clinical evidence profile: Early versus late consultant review in ED (SWAT versus standard care control): RCT evidence
Quality assessment | No of patients | Effect | Quality | Importance | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No of studies | Design | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Other considerations | Early (SWAT) | late consultant review (control) | Relative (95% CI) | Absolute | ||
Proportion of patients who met NEAT | ||||||||||||
1 | randomised trials | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none |
308/647 (47.6%) | 45.6% | RR 1.04 (0.92 to 1.18) | 18 more per 1000 (from 36 fewer to 82 more) |
⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE | IMPORTANT |
Proportion of admitted patients who met NEAT | ||||||||||||
1 | randomised trials | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | Serious2 | none |
56/251 (22.3%) | 17.8% | RR 1.26 (0.86 to 1.83) | 46 more per 1000 (from 25 fewer to 148 more) |
⊕⊕⊝⊝ LOW | IMPORTANT |
Proportion of discharged patients who met NEAT | ||||||||||||
1 | randomised trials | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none |
252/396 (63.6%) | 62.5% | RR 1.02 (0.91 to 1.14) | 12 more per 1000 (from 56 fewer to 87 more) |
⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE | IMPORTANT |
Number of patients admitted | ||||||||||||
1 | randomised trials | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none |
251/647 (38.8%) | 37.7% | RR 1.03 (0.89 to 1.19) | 11 more per 1000 (from 41 fewer to 72 more) |
⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE | IMPORTANT |
Number of patients discharged | ||||||||||||
1 | randomised trials | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none |
396/647 (61.2%) | 62.3% | RR 0.98 (0.9 to 1.08) | 12 fewer per 1000 (from 62 fewer to 50 more) |
⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE | IMPORTANT |
- 1
Downgraded by 1 increment if the majority of the evidence was at high risk of bias, and downgraded by 2 increments if the majority of the evidence was at very high risk of bias.
- 2
Downgraded by 1 increment if the confidence interval crossed one MID or by 2 increments if the confidence interval crossed both MIDs.
Table 11Clinical evidence profile: Early versus late consultant review in ED: observational evidence
Quality assessment | No of patients | Effect | Quality | Importance | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No of studies | Design | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Other considerations | Early consultant triage | late consultant triage | Relative (95% CI) | Absolute | ||
Length of stay (minutes) (Better indicated by lower values) | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | Serious3 | none | 608 | 683 | - | MD 68.3 lower (84.76 to 51.84 lower) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | CRITICAL |
Mortality | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious2 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | very serious3 | none |
2/608 (0.33%) | 0.2% | Peto OR 2.20 (0.23, 21.23) | 2 more per 1000 (from 2 fewer to 39 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | CRITICAL |
30 day unscheduled readmissions | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | Serious3 | none |
43/608 (7.1%) | 9.4% | RR 0.75 (0.52 to 1.09) | 23 fewer per 1000 (from 45 fewer to 8 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
Admitted | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none |
153/1057 (14.5%) | 42.4% | RR 0.34 (0.28 to 0.41) | 280 fewer per 1000 (from 250 fewer to 305 fewer) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
% achieving NEAT | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none | - | OR 1.15 (1.07 to 1.24) | 140 more per 1000 (from 70 more to 210 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | ||
% achieving NEAT of those discharged | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | Serious3 | none | - | OR 1.17 (1.07 to 1.28) | 160 more per 1000 (from 70 more to 250 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | ||
% achieving NEAT of those admitted | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | no serious imprecision | none | - | OR 1.1 (0.98 to 1.23) | 100 more per 1000 (from 20 fewer to 210 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | ||
% seen within recommended waiting times - Harvey 2008 | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | no serious indirectness | Serious3 | none |
352/608 (57.9%) | 46% | RR 1.26 (1.13 to 1.4) | 120 more per 1000 (from 60 more to 184 more)) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
Did not wait to be seen patients (Harvey 2008) | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | Very serious3 | none |
11/608 (1.8%) | 2.5% | RR 0.73 (0.34-1.54) | 7 fewer per 1000 (from 16 fewer to 13 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
Did not wait to be seen patients (Asha 2013) | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | Serious3 | none | - | OR 0.72 (0.58 to 0.89) | 330 fewer (from 540 fewer to 110 fewer) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | ||
Did not wait to be seen patients (Shetty 2012) | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | no serious imprecision | none |
1137/11845 (9.6%) | 10.7% | RR 0.9 (0.83 to 0.97) | 11 fewer per 1000 (from 3 fewer to 18 fewer) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW |
- 1
All non-randomised studies automatically downgraded due to selection bias. Studies may be further downgraded by 1 increment if other factors suggest additional high risk of bias, or 2 2 increments if other factors suggest additional very high risk of bias.
- 2
Downgraded by 1 increment if the confidence interval crossed one MID or by 2 increments if the confidence interval crossed both MIDs.
Table 12Clinical evidence profile: Early versus late consultant review in AMU (consultant present versus consultant absent): cohort study evidence
Quality assessment | No of patients | Effect | Quality | Importance | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No of studies | Design | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Other considerations | Early (Consultant present) | Late (Consultant absent) | Relative (95% CI) | Absolute | ||
Length of stay - Days (Better indicated by lower values) | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | no serious imprecision | none | 2064 | 864 | - | MD 1.34 lower (2.67 to 0.01 lower) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | CRITICAL |
% discharged on day of admission | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | Serious3 | none |
664/2064 (32.2%) | 23.0% | RR 1.4 (1.22-1.6) | 129 more per 1000 (from 71 more to 193 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
% patients discharged within 24 hours and readmitted within 1 week for same clinical problem | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | very serious3 | none |
37/2064 (1.8%) | 1.5% | RR 1.19 (0.64 to 2.23) | 3 more per 1000 (from 5 fewer to 18 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | IMPORTANT |
Mortality during admission | ||||||||||||
1 | observational studies | Serious1 | no serious inconsistency | Serious2 | Serious3 | none |
194/2064 (9.4%) | 10.1% | RR 0.93 (0.73 to 1.19) | 7 fewer per 1000 (from 27 fewer to 19 more) |
⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW | CRITICAL |
- 1
All non-randomised studies automatically downgraded due to selection bias. Studies may be further downgraded by 1 increment if other factors suggest additional high risk of bias, or 2 increments if other factors suggest additional very high risk of bias.
- 2
The evidence is indirect as the exact time of consultant review was not reported.
- 3
Downgraded by 1 increment if the confidence interval crossed one MID or by 2 increments if the confidence interval crossed both MIDs.
Appendix G. Excluded clinical studies
Table 13Studies excluded from the clinical review
Study | Exclusion reason |
---|---|
ADAMS 20053 | Incorrect setting and population (in-hospital cardiac arrests occurring hospital-wide). |
ADIGUEZL 20154 | Incorrect comparison (pulmonary specialist versus intensivist). |
AGA 20125 | Incorrect setting (surgical care). |
AGRAWAL 20096 | Incorrect setting (general surgery). |
AHMED 20107 | Incorrect setting (outpatient clinic). |
ALI 20108 | Before and after study. Time to consultant review not measured. Insufficient data provided to make a comparison. |
ANDERSON 198810 | Time to consultant review not measured. No outcomes of interest. |
ANDERSON 20139 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study set in USA. |
ANGUS 200011 | Does not fit protocol. Observational study set in USA. |
ANON 20051 | Incorrect intervention. Summary paper only. |
AUDIT 199613 | Contains no relevant outcome data. |
BARNES 201114 | Incorrect setting (head and neck surgery). |
BEIRI 200615 | Incorrect setting (orthopaedic and trauma surgery). |
BELL 201316 | No data reported. |
BEWICK 200917 | Incorrect comparison (generalist versus specialist). |
BRAY 201319 | Does not fit with current practice |
BLUNT 200018 | Incorrect comparison (intensivist versus non-specialist). |
BRODIE 201220 | Review paper checked for references. |
BROWN 198921 | Incorrect comparison (consultant versus critical care specialist). |
CADTH 201422 | Review paper checked for references |
CALDER 199823 | Incorrect setting (surgical care). |
CAPP 201224 | No outcomes of interest. |
CARBERRY 200625 | Narrative paper. |
CARIGA 201126 | Incorrect setting (neurology clinic). |
CARROLL 200427 | Incorrect setting (neurology). |
CASALINO 201428 | Incorrect comparison (specialist advice versus no specialist advice). |
CHA 200929 | Incorrect intervention. |
CHEN 2015A 30 | Incorrect intervention with no extractable outcomes |
CHRISTMAS 200531 | Incorrect setting (trauma service). |
CLARKE 200533 | Diagnosis of role players. |
COHEE 201434 | Incorrect setting (inpatient internal medical wards). |
COHEN 199335 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study published < 2005. |
COOKE 199636 | Narrative/letter to editor. |
COOKE 199837 | Review paper checked for references. |
CAPP 201224 | No outcomes of interest |
CUTLER 200338 | Qualitative review. |
DALE 199539 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study published < 2005. |
DAOUST 201440 | Incorrect intervention. |
DAY 200542 | Narrative. |
DENMANJOHNSON 199743 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study published < 2005 and n<200. |
DHRAMPAL 201044 | Conference abstract |
EDKINS 201445 | Review paper checked for references. |
EDWARDS 201146 | Incorrect intervention (registered nurse in triage team) |
ELGAYLANI 199747 | Incorrect setting (chest pain clinic). |
ELMSTAHL 199948 | Observational study published < 2005. |
EVANS 201149 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
FISHER 199451 | No outcomes of interest. Incorrect setting: otolaryngology unit. |
FITZPATRICK 2006B52 | Incorrect population (trauma patients). |
FOSTER 200653 | Incorrect setting (oncology referrals). |
GAMBIER 201254 | Incorrect setting – internal medicine department. Timing of consultant review not measured. |
GARLAND 201255 | Incorrect comparison (consultant present versus consultant on call) |
GARNER 200656 | Incorrect setting (surgery). |
GASKELL 199557 | Incorrect setting (general surgical ward). |
GERSHENGORN 201158 | Incorrect comparison (nurses/physicians assistant’s versus junior doctors). |
GIBBS 200159 | No outcomes of interest. |
GILLIGAN 200860 | Incorrect setting (hospital-wide). |
GLASSER 200961 | Incorrect setting (military medical centre). |
GOMEZ 199662 | Unclear which health professionals delivered intervention. |
GOMEZ-SOTO 200863 | Incorrect setting (internal medicine and family medicine). |
GULLI 201464 | No outcomes of interest. |
HALFDANARSON 200665 | Narrative. |
HARRISON 200766 | Narrative. |
HELLAWELL 200568 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
HELLING 2010A69 | Incorrect setting (trauma centres). |
HOFFMAN 200371 | No outcomes of interest. |
HOFFMAN 200572 | Incorrect comparison (consultants present in both interventions). |
HOFFMAN 200670 | Incorrect comparison (consultants present in both interventions). |
HOLZMAN 199473 | Incorrect setting (surgery) |
HOPKINS 201474 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
HORWITZ 200775 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study set in USA. |
IMPERATO 201276 | Before and after study set in USA. |
JEUNE 201378 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
JIMENEZ 200379 | Not a comparative study |
JOHANSSON 200180 | Does not match protocol |
JOHNSTONE 2015 81 | Incorrect population |
JUNG 2016 82 | Incorrect intervention |
KAPUR 199983 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
KAWAR 201184 | Incorrect intervention. |
KENDRICK 200685 | No outcomes of interest. |
KENNELLY 201486 | No outcomes of interest |
KENT 201187 | Incorrect intervention. |
KERR 201088 | No outcomes of interest. |
KHADJOOI 200989 | Not a comparative study. |
KIRTON 200790 | No outcomes of interest. |
KMIETOWICZ 200791 | News article checked for references. |
LAINE 199392 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
LAL 200093 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
LAMMERS 200394 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
LANGHORNE 199595 | Meta-analysis comparing stroke units to normal wards. Time to consultant review not measured. |
LAUPLAND 201096 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
LAURENS 201197 | Incorrect setting (hospital-wide intervention). |
LEVY 201398 | Narrative paper. |
LEWIS 198899 | Timing of consultant review not reported. |
LILLY 2014100 | Incorrect intervention (telemedicine). |
LONDERO 2014101 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
LONGSWORTH 1990102 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
MAGIN 2013103 | Incorrect setting (secondary referral clinic). |
MAHMOOD 2009104 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
MANAWADU 2014A105 | Incorrect population (in-hospital stroke). |
MARRIOTT 2003106 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
MARTIN 1997108 | No outcomes of interest. |
MCMANUS 2002109 | Review paper checked for references. |
MEYER 2005111 | Incorrect intervention. |
MEYNAAR 2009112 | Incorrect intervention (intensivists versus junior doctors). |
MIRZA 2013113 | Incorrect setting (ENT clinic). |
MORRIS 2009114 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
MULLEN 2009115 | Conference abstract |
MUNRO 2006116 | Poor quality data source (survey) |
MURPHY 1996117 | Unclear intervention. |
MURRELL 2011118 | Observational study set in USA. |
NCEPOD 2007107 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
NEWBY 1998119 | Incorrect setting (chest pain clinic). |
O’CONNOR 1996A120 | Incorrect population (trauma patients). |
O’KEEFFE 2012121 | Incorrect populations (‘did not wait’ patients). |
PATEL 2014122 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
POURMAND 2013123 | Incorrect comparison (junior doctors with input from consultant versus junior doctors alone). |
RAFMAN 2013124 | Observational study set in Singapore |
REDMOND 1993125 | Short article, insufficient information. |
ROTHEN 2007126 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
ROTHWELL 2007127 | Incorrect intervention (referral to outpatient clinic). |
SAKR 2015128 | Timing of consultant review not measured. |
SALAZAR 2001129 | Observational study published < 2005 |
SCHULTZ 2013130 | Time to consultant review not linked to outcomes. |
SECOR 1983131 | Does not match protocol |
SHOWKATHALI 2013133 | Incorrect setting (cardiothoracic centre). Time to consultant review not measured. |
SILBER 2009134 | Time to consultant review not measured. Observational study set in USA. |
SOONG 2013135 | Incorrect intervention. |
SPIGOS 1996136 | Observational study set in USA and published <2005. |
STEVENS 2001137 | Time to consultant review not measured. |
SVIRSKY 2013138 | Incorrect intervention (early triage by junior doctors). |
TING 1991139 | Observational study set in USA and published <2005. |
TRAUB 2015140 | Observational study set in USA. |
TRAVERS 2006141 | Non-randomised study set in Singapore. |
VAGHASIYA 2014142 | No outcomes of interest. |
VOLPP 2007143 | Observational study set in USA. |
VOLPP 2009144 | Observational study set in USA. |
VOLPP 2013145 | Observational study set in USA. |
VOSK 1998146 | No outcomes of interest. |
WALLS 2009147 | No outcomes of interest. |
WANKLYN 1997148 | Incorrect comparison (SHOs and registrars). |
WARD 2009149 | Does not link consultant working patterns to clinical outcomes. |
WARD 2013150 | Does not match protocol |
WILCOX 2013152 | Incorrect comparison (high versus low intensity staffing). |
WILCOX 2014153 | Timing of consultant review not measured. |
WOODS 2008154 | No outcomes of interest. |
Appendix H. Excluded economic studies
No studies were excluded.
- Early versus late consultant review - Emergency and acute medical care in over 1...Early versus late consultant review - Emergency and acute medical care in over 16s: service delivery and organisation
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