Health Technology Assessment |
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Thurgar,2 2016, UK |
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Patients with AGW
Clinical analysis Probability of a treatment effect for achieving complete clearance at treatment end (from MTC analysis) | Clinical effectiveness: “In summary, the evidence base to inform first-line treatment of AGWs, albeit large, is limited in terms of the number and quality of reporting of studies providing data on the effectiveness of individual interventions. Analyses indicate that ablative techniques, and in particular CO2 laser therapy, are generally associated with higher probabilities of complete clearance at the end of treatment. Although topical treatments such as imiquimod 5% cream, podophyllotoxin 0.5% solution and podophyllotoxin 0.15% cream are the mainstay of patient-applied treatments, the evidence to support their use is limited, with analyses identifying considerable variation across topical treatments in the probability of achieving complete clearance.” Page 140.
Cost-effectiveness: “Cost-effectiveness finding 1. Podophyllotoxin 0.5% solution is an effective and relatively inexpensive treatment. It is therefore likely that prescription of this therapy first line would be considered a cost-effective use of resources. Cost-effectiveness finding 2. No treatment and treatment with podophyllin are unlikely to be cost-effective treatment options for AGWs because of their relatively low rates of complete clearance and, in the case of podophyllin, higher estimated rates of recurrence, despite their low costs. Cost-effectiveness finding 3. Highly effective treatments such as CO2 laser therapy or surgical excision are likely to represent a cost-effective treatment option at second line following failure to completely clear with podophyllotoxin solution, provided that these treatments are considered clinically appropriate. This is because, despite their relatively high initial costs, these treatments are likely to be effective and typically require only a single appointment with a clinician. Cost-effectiveness finding 4. There is uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness of treatment with imiquimod, TCAA and cryotherapy at second line. In this economic analysis, these treatments were not found to offer cost-effective alternatives at second line because of their relatively lower rates of complete clearance compared with CO2 laser therapy and surgical excision. However, it is noted that the clinical systematic review reported uncertainty around treatment effects and rates of recurrence and, thus, clinical experience must be taken into account when using these treatments.” Page 141 |
Treatment | Mean probability (%) of being the best treatment | Probability (%) of complete clearance |
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Primary analysis | Sensitivity analysisa | Primary analysis |
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IMQ 5% cream | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.1 |
PDP (20% to 25%) (clinician applied) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.1 |
Placebo or no Tx | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6 |
PDT 0.5% gel (patient applied) | NA | 0.5 | NR |
PDT 0.5% solution (patient applied) | 3.8 | 0.0 | 92.6 |
PDT 0.3% solution (patient applied) | 14.3 | 8.8 | 90.8 |
PDT 0.5% cream (patient applied) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.7 |
PDT 0.3% cream (patient applied) | 0.0 | 0.2 | 53.4 |
PDT 0.15% cream(patient applied) | NA | 0.0 | |
PDP solution (patient applied) | 1.6 | 0.4 | 67.8 |
TCAA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.4 |
CDV 1% | NA | 5.6 | NR |
CTx | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 |
Surgical; excision | 6.7 | 6.5 | 84.8 |
CO2 laser therapy | 71.8 | 62.1 | 97.1 |
Electrotherapy | NA | 13.1 | NR |
TCAA +PDP 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.8 |
CTx + PDT 0.15% cream | 1.0 | 2.1 | 78.4 |
CTx + PDP 25% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 77.6 |
aPre-specified sensitivity analysis included studies that (1) were judged to be at high risk of bias, (2) enrolled patients with AGWs who were seropositive for HIV infection, and (3) were reported only as conference abstracts. |
Comparison of IMQ with placebo with respect to complete clearance ( from standard pairwise meta-analysis) |
Treatment | OR (95% CI) |
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Primary analysis | Sensitivity analysisa |
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IMQ 5% versus placebo | 13.48 (7.50 to 24.23) | 10.02 (5.88 to 17.10) |
PDT 0.3% solution versus placebo | 81.00 (4.20 to 156.1) | NR |
aPre-specified sensitivity analysis included studies that (1) were judged to be at high risk of bias, (2) enrolled patients with AGWs who were seropositive for HIV infection, and (3) were reported only as conference abstracts. |
Comparison of IMQ with placebo or CO2 laser therapy with respect to complete clearance ( from MTC analysis) |
Treatment | Complete clearance, OR (95% CrI) |
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Primary analysis | Sensitivity analysisa |
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IMQ 5% versus placebo | 24.54 (7.28 to 73.04) | 24.02 (6.68 to 64.44) |
PDT 0.3% solution versus placebo | 1008 (23.96 to 5253) | 602.30 (21.46 to 3299) |
CO2 laser therapy versus placebo | 6533 (65.49 to 25760) | 4986 (64.22 to 28480) |
IMQ 5% versus PDP 20% -25% | 1.07 (0.15 to 3.45) | 1.09 (0.23 to 3.03) |
PDT 0.3% solution versus versus PDP 20% - 25% | 28.5 (0.97 to 143.4) | 22.98 (0.99 to 122.10) |
CO2 laser therapy versus PDP 20% - 25% | 104.6 (3.35 to 505.2) | 171.20 (3.03 to 991.70) |
aPre-specified sensitivity analysis included studies that (1) were judged to be at high risk of bias, (2) enrolled patients with AGWs who were seropositive for HIV infection, and (3) were reported only as conference abstracts. |
Recurrence at ≥ 6 months |
Treatment | Probability (%) of recurrence (95% CrI) |
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IMQ 5% cream | 24.7 (6.4 to 53.2) |
Surgical excision | 15.4 (4.7 to 33.5) |
PDP 20% to 25% | 55.9 (42.1 to 69.4) |
PDT 0.5% solution (patient applied) | 62.1 (37.6 to 82.7) |
Appearance of new AGW during treatment |
Treatment | New AGW, OR (95% CrI) |
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IMQ 5% cream versus placebo | 0.57 (0.07 to 2.17), favors IMQ but NS |
IMQ 5% cream versus PDT | 8.70 (0.09 to 45.35), favors PDT but NS |
Occurrence of erythema |
Treatment | Erythema, OR (95% CrI) |
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Placebo versus IMQ 5% cream | 0.15 (0.10to 0.24), favors placebo |
PDP 20%-25% versus IMQ 5% cream | 0.59 (0.19 to 1.40), favors PDP but NS |
PDT 0.5% solution versus IMQ 5% cream | 2.1 (0.29 to 7.87), favors IMQ but NS |
PDT 0.5% cream versus IMQ 5% cream | 0.91 (0.17 to 3.08), favors PDP but NS |
Occurrence of edema |
Treatment | Edema, OR (95% CrI) |
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Placebo versus IMQ 5% cream | 0.05 (0.01to 0.13), favors placebo |
PDP 20%-25% versus IMQ 5% cream | 12.39 (2.74 to 40.21), favors IMQ |
Occurrence of itching |
Treatment | Itching, OR (95% CrI) |
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Placebo versus IMQ 5% cream | 1.19 (0.03 to 6.0), favors IMQ but NS |
PDT 0.5% solution versus IMQ 5% cream | 18.0 (0.02 to 62.8), favors IMQ but NS |
PDP 20%-25% versus IMQ 5% cream | 6.8 (0.16 to 35.8), favors IMQ but NS |
Economic analysis
Probability of each treatment being considered as the treatment with the highest net benefit |
Treatment | Probability (%) of the treatment resulting in the highest net benefit, based on a threshold of willingness-to- pay per QALY gained of |
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£20,000 | £30,000 |
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PDT 0.5% solution followed by CO2 laser therapy | 80.7 | 78.3 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by surgical excision | 15.9 | 15.1 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by IMQ 5% cream | 1.1 | 0.7 |
CO2 laser therapy followed by surgical excision | 0.6 | 3.0 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by TCAA | 0.5 | 0.5 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by TCAA plus PDP 0.15% cream | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Surgical excision followed by CTx plus PDT 0.15% solution | 0.2 | 0.1 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by CTx | 0.1 | 0.0 |
PDT 0.5% solution followed by CTx plus PDP 25% | 0.1 | 0.0 |
CO2 laser therapy followed by CTx plus PDT 0.15% cream | 0.1 | 0.3 |
CO2 laser therapy followed by TCAA plus PDP 25% | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Surgical excision followed by CO2 laser therapy | 0.1 | 1.2 |
CTx plus PDT 0.15% cream followed by surgical excision | 0.1 | 0.1 |
CO2 laser therapy followed by | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Systematic Review
Bertolotti,12 2017, France |
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Non-immunocompromised adults with AGW
Comparison of CTx with IMQ | “This systematic review with metaanalysis of cryotherapy efficacy and safety for patients with AGWs enabled us to conclude, with low-level quality of evidence, that no evidence supports cryotherapy superiority or inferiority when compared with TCA, imiquimod, or podophyllin and that cryotherapy appears slightly less effective than electrosurgery.” Page 523 |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | RR (95% CI) | Heterogeneity, I2 (%) |
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Clearance | 2 | 204 | 0.90 (0.73 to 1.12) | 0 |
Grillo-Ardila,5 2014, Cochrane Collaboration |
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Non-immunocompromised adults with AGW
Comparison of IMQ with placebo | “The benefits and harms of imiquimod compared with placebo should be regarded with caution due to the risk of bias, imprecision and inconsistency for many of the outcomes we assessed in this Cochrane Review. The evidence for many of the outcomes that show imiquimod and patient-applied treatment (podophyllotoxin or podophyllin) confer similar benefits but fewer systematic reactions with the Imiquimod, is of low or very low quality. The quality of evidence for the outcomes assessing imiquimod and other provider administered treatment were of very low quality.” Page 2 |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | RR (95% CI) | Heterogeneity, I2 (%) |
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Complete clearancea | 6 | 1294 | 4.03 (2.03 to 7.99) | 60 |
Partial clearancea | 6 | 1082 | 2.56 (2.05 to 3.20) | 0 |
Recurrenceb | 3 | 270 | 2.76 (0.70 to 10.91) | 0 |
Appearance of new wartsc | 3 | 671 | 0.76 (0.58 to 1.00) | 49 |
Painc | 2 | 804 | 11.84 (3.36 to 41.63) | 0 |
Local reactionc | 5 | 1225 | 1.73 (1.18 to 2.53) | 73 |
Systemic reactionc | 2 | 313 | 0.91 (0.63 to 1.32) | 0 |
aAfter treatment bDuring follow-up cDuring treatment |
Comparison of IMQ with other patient applied treatments (PDP or PDT) |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | RR (95% CI) | Heterogeneity, I2 (%) |
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Complete clearancea | 2 | 105 | 1.09 (0.80 to 1.48) | 0 |
Partial clearancea | 1 | 60 | 0.77 (0.40 to 1.47) | NA |
Recurrenceb | 1 | 50 | 0.49 (0.21 to 1.11) | NA |
Local reactionc | 2 | 105 | 1.24 (1.00 to 1.54) | 0 |
Systemic reactionc | 1 | 60 | 0.30 (0.09 to 0.98) | NA |
aAfter treatment bDuring follow-up 0 to 6 months cDuring treatment |
Comparison of IMQ with other provider administered treatments |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | RR (95% CI) | Heterogeneity, I2 (%) |
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Complete clearancea | 2 | 335 | 0.84 (0.56 to 1.28) | 84 |
Recurrenceb | 1 | 192 | 0.24 (0.10 to 0.56) | NA |
Recurrencec | 1 | 53 | 0.71(0.40 to 1.25) | NA |
Paind | 1 | 80 | 0.30 (0.17 to 0.54) | NA |
Local reactiond | 1 | 80 | 0.55 (0.40 to 0.74) | NA |
aAfter treatment bDuring follow-up 0 to 6 months cDuring follow-up 6 to 12 months dcDuring treatment |
Werner,13 2017, Germany |
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Immunocompetent adults with AGW
Comparison of IMQ (3.75%) cream versus placebo | “Our confidence in the pooled estimates ranged from very low to high. All investigated self-administered interventions for AGWs were superior to placebo with respect to CC. To determine the relative efficacy of the different self-administered interventions, head-to-head trials are needed.” Page 161
(CC = complete clearance) |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | Effect, RR (95% CI) | Quality, GRADE |
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Complete clearance | 2 | 601 | 2.88 (1.94 to 4.51) | High |
Drop-outs due to AE | 2 | 601 | 2.14 (0.36 to 12.59) | Moderate |
AE | | | | |
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-Pain | 1 | NR | 17.18 (1.04 to 282.95) | Low |
-Erythema, inflammation, or skin irritation | 1 | NR | 21.30 (1.30 to 348.79) | Moderate |
-Erosion, excoriation, or ulceration | 1 | NR | 13.45 (1.85 to 97.73) | High |
Comparison of IMQ (5%) cream versus placebo |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | Effect, RR (95% CI) | Quality, GRADE |
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Complete clearance | 5 | 551 | 9.16 (3.39 to 24.71) | Low |
Recurrence | 3 | NR | 1.44 (0.28 to 6.97) | Low |
Drop-outs due to AE | 3 | NR | 4.3(0.48 to 38.34) | Moderate |
AE | | | | |
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-Pain | 1 | NR | 16.00 (3.95 to 64.82) | High |
-Erythema, inflammation, or skin irritation | 3 | NR | 2.36 (1.87 to 2.98) | Moderate |
-Erosion, excoriation, or ulceration | 3 | NR | 6.80 (4.16 to 11.12) | Moderate |
Comparison of IMQ (5%) cream versus PDT (0.5%) solution |
Outcome | Number of trials | Number of patients | Effect, RR (95% CI) | Quality, GRADE |
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Complete clearance | 1 | 51 | 0.87 (0.58 to 1.31) | Low |
AE | | | | |
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-Erythema, inflammation, or skin irritation | 1 | 51 | 1.17 (0.8 to 1.73) | Low |
-Erosion, excoriation, or ulceration | 1 | 51 | 1.46 (0.42 to 5.00) | Low |
Randomized controlled study |
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Kumar,14 2014, India |
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Adult patients with AGW
Comparison of IMQ (5%) with Mw vaccine | “Although it is invasive and associated with local immunologic reactions, intralesional Mw vaccine therapy is as effective as imiquimod, 5%, in the treatment of AGWs and results in elimination of HPV in the lesion.” Page 1078 |
Outcome | Effect, n (%) | P value |
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IMQ (5%), N = 44 | Mw vaccine, N =45 |
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Complete clearance | 26 (59) | 30 (67) | NR |
Partial clearance (≥75% to < 100%) | 9 (20) | 7 (16) | 0.52 |
Partial clearance (<75%) | 9 (20) | 8 (18) | NR |
Adverse events | | | 0.59 |
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-Severe | 6 (14) | 4 (9) | NR |
-Moderate | 13 930) | 9 (20) | NR |
-Mild | 22 (50) | 27 (60) | NR |
-None | 3 (7) | 5 (11) | NR |
Viral load: The mean viral of HPV-6 significantly declined after treatment for both groups (P = 0.01 for IMQ (5%), and P = 0.003 for Mw vaccine |