We wish to thank all the staff at critical care units participating in the CMP (www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/About/Participation) and hospitals participating in the NCAA (www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Ncaa/About/Participation).
Nazir Lone, Catriona Haddow, Moranne MacGillivray, Angela Khan and Brian Cook contributed to the external validation of the ICNARC model in Scottish critical care units.
Sarah Power and Stephen Webb contributed to the development and validation of a risk prediction model for cardiothoracic critical care units.
Ben Creagh-Brown, Ari Ercole, Mike Gillies, Steve Harris, Rupert Pearse, Manu Shankar-Hari, Alasdair Short, Marius Terblanche and Duncan Young contributed to the development and validation of the new ICNARC model for adult critical care units.
Krishna Patel, Edel Nixon, Jasmeet Soar, Gary Smith, Carl Gwinnutt and Jerry Nolan contributed to the development and validation of risk prediction models for outcomes following in-hospital cardiac arrest.
Contribution of authors
Dr David A Harrison (Senior Statistician) conceived and designed the study, conducted the validation of the ICNARC model in Scottish critical care units, oversaw the risk prediction modelling work, and drafted and critically revised the manuscript.
Paloma Ferrando-Vivas (Statistician/Risk prediction modeller) conducted the risk prediction modelling for cardiothoracic critical care units and adult critical care units and drafted the manuscript.
Dr Jason Shahin (Assistant Professor, Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine) contributed to the risk prediction modelling work for cardiothoracic critical care units and drafted the manuscript.
Professor Kathryn M Rowan (Director of Scientific & Strategic Development and Honorary Professor of Health Services Research) conceived and designed the study and critically revised the manuscript.
Expert Advisory Group
Professor Doug Altman (Professor of Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford); Professor Nick Black (Professor of Health Services Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine); Professor James Carpenter (Professor of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine); Dr Gary Collins (Associate Professor and Head of Prognosis Methodology, University of Oxford); Maureen Dalziel (service user representative); Professor Mike Grocott (Professor of Anaesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, University of Southampton); Dr Steve Harris (Clinical Lecturer in Anaesthesia and Critical Care, University College London); Professor Jon Nicholl (Professor of Health Services Research, University of Sheffield); Dr Andrew Padkin (Consultant in Intensive Care Medicine, Royal United Hospital Bath NHS Trust); and Graham Ramsay (former Chief Executive, Mid Essex Hospital Services NHS Trust).
Publications
Harrison DA, Lone NI, Haddow C, MacGillivray M, Khan A, Cook B, et al. External validation of the Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre (ICNARC) risk prediction model in critical care units in Scotland. BMC Anesthesiol 2014;14:116. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2253-14-116
Harrison DA, Patel K, Nixon E, Soar J, Smith GB, Gwinnutt C, et al. Development and validation of risk models to predict outcomes following in-hospital cardiac arrest attended by a hospital-based resuscitation team. Resuscitation 2014;85:993–1000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2014.05.004
Disclaimers
This report presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). The views and opinions expressed by authors in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the NHS, the NIHR, NETSCC, the HS&DR programme or the Department of Health. If there are verbatim quotations included in this publication the views and opinions expressed by the interviewees are those of the interviewees and do not necessarily reflect those of the authors, those of the NHS, the NIHR, NETSCC, the HS&DR programme or the Department of Health.
